Earnings growth volatility and the value premium

نویسندگان

  • Jamie Alcock
  • Eva Steiner
چکیده

The volatility of future earnings growth is a significant determinant of Fama and French’s Value premium. We use a stochastic earnings model of firm valuation to establish a formal link between the volatility of future earnings growth and the value premium. Furthermore we empirically confirm this relationship at the macro-level.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Do Investors Value Cash Flow Stability of Listed Infrastructure Funds?

I analyze cash flow characteristics of listed infrastructure investment companies and funds and compare this unique infrastructure sample with a noninfrastructure reference group. I confirm that infrastructure investment provide more stable cash flows than non-infrastructure investments. However, I do not find that investors positively value this cash flow stability. Instead, more volatile cash...

متن کامل

Corporate liquidity , and dividend policy under uncertainty

We examine firm valuation with optimal liquidity (retained earnings) and dividend choice under revenue uncertainty that incorporates debt financing and bankruptcy costs. We revisit the conditions for dividend policy irrelevancy and the role of retained earnings and dividends. Retained earnings have a net positive impact on firm value in the presence of growth options, high external financing co...

متن کامل

Value versus Growth: Time-Varying Expected Stock Returns

Is the value premium predictable? We study time variations of the expected value premium using a two-state Markov switching model. We find that when conditional volatilities are high, the expected excess returns of value stocks are more sensitive to aggregate economic conditions than the expected excess returns of growth stocks. As a result, the expected value premium is time varying. It spikes...

متن کامل

Cash Flow Risk, Discounting Risk, and the Equity Premium Puzzle

This article investigates the impact of cash flow risk and discounting risk on the aggregate equity premium. Our approach is based on the idea that consumption is hard to measure empirically, so if we substitute out an empirically difficult-to-estimate marginal utility by a pricing kernel of observables, we can evaluate the empirical performance of an equilibrium asset pricing model in a differ...

متن کامل

The Predictability of Returns with Regime Shifts in Consumption and Dividend Growth

We model consumption and dividend growth as di¤erent processes across two latent regimes. We estimate the equilibrium model over 1930-2009 and show that the second regime is associated with recessions, market downturns, higher risk premia, lower consumption and dividend growth, higher volatility of returns and growth rates, and lower market-wide price-dividend ratio. The model performs better a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2011